But if you read your Tetlock, you already knew that.

The answer might lie in expectations. Princeton anthropologist Carolyn Rouse suggested, in an email exchange, that other groups might not expect that their income, standard of living and social status are destined to steadily improve. They don’t have the same confidence that if they work hard, they will surely get ahead. In fact, Rouse said that after hundreds of years of slavery, segregation and racism, blacks have developed ways to cope with disappointment and the unfairness of life: through family, art, protest speech and, above all, religion.

Christ. How gay is that? And Canadians don’t have their version of an American dream? The obvious culprit here is changes in the U.S. healthcare system, specifically, the deregulation of prescription opioids.