1. Really interesting article on momentum and Presidential nominations. Recommended. I, too, thought Trump’s fate was sealed with the victory in Florida, and never took the contested convention bullshit seriously. So I was surprised when the prediction markets didn’t spike after Trump’s victory and showed him wobbling after his abortion comments. I thought that was ridiculous, as Trump has made many gaffes before, and they had never hurt him.

2. Tweet of the day.

3. Sumner’s unfocused post on hidden problems

4. Thanks, Obama

5. The paradox of tolerance

6. A bank without interest (Islamic Markets in Everything)

7. A pretty implausible path for a Trump win (funny, nonetheless). Pennsylvania is more worthwhile than some two-bit disproportionately Hispanic states.

8. Finally, those MANPADS sent to the Syrian rebels are being put to good use

9. Grand Divisions of Tennessee

10. It takes 300 hours to become a shampooer in Tennessee

11. More economic data leaking to markets