Given the deep divisions within the Republican Party, it’s hard to see how the factions meaningfully unite in Cleveland. If history is any guide, Republicans will head into August in deep trouble. And unless Democrats have an even bigger internal fight (very unlikely at this point), Democrats will win in November. Maybe history will be different this time. But I wouldn’t bet on it.

http://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/4/5/11370102/republicans-lose-2016
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http://www.gallup.com/poll/189299/presidential-election-2016-key-indicators.aspx
-If I correctly recall, Ted Cruz delegates weren’t booing the nominee and the speakers. Sanders delegates were. “War Hawk! “War Hawk!” at Booker yesterday (they walked out today after the roll call)! Roissy, as usual, was right. “It’s hard to see” is a useless argument when made by the blind.

Never trust the establishment without external evidence.

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