Thursday Assorted Links

1. Hillary Clinton campaign posts two wildly contradictory foreign policy tweets in twelve minutes. Competence!

2. Republican Party seen as best on security; prosperity

3. Sumner on problems with Fed preparation for the next recession

4. The stale old politics of late night

5. As the race tightens, how the model forecasts differ

6. Kaine: the only candidate to openly support the Saudi war in Yemen (the House libertarians are opposed)

7. Clinton’s GOP supporters expect some return from their support

8. Same-sex marriage thrives where opposite-sex marriage withers (except among Blacks, where it is very rare)

Author: pithom

An atheist with an interest in the history of the ancient Near East. Author of the Against Jebel al-Lawz Wordpress blog.

2 thoughts on “Thursday Assorted Links”

  1. 8. It took a while for my eyes to adjust: this is NOT a political map where more gay marriage = more liberal. If it was, most of the states would look like Louisiana or Ohio, with little pink islands surrounded by oceans of beige and tan.

    My analysis:

    Gay people marry chiefly for the symbolic statement of love and devotion, whereas straight people marry for that but also for family formation. Having enough people of your same sexual orientation around to find someone to love and devote yourself to is relatively more consistent across the country than the cost of family formation, which varies widely.

    This contrast makes gay marriage seem like it’s “thriving” in many areas where it really is still just a blip on the radar. The median percentile on that graph is 0.36% of marriages, which is 1/9th of the the gay portion of the population (about 3%). If gay marriage was “thriving” I would expect the scale to START at 0.36% and go all the way up to 6% or 9%. Even the Bay Area isn’t deep red on that map!

    Gay marriage won’t thrive, it will just stand out more.

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