See the previous post for background:
https://marginalcounterrevolution.wordpress.com/2016/10/24/black-turnout-in-north-carolina-down-substantially-from-2012/

The White vote does seem to be more Democratic-leaning than in 2012, but the very low Black turnout is making up for it. And Trump’s position relative to Mitt Romney has actually improved in recent days.

http://www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com/2016/10/nearing-million-absentee-ballots-in.html

Remember, unaffiliateds voted 75.4% Mitt Romney in 2012. The NYT’s analysis appears to be BS. It’s impossible for unaffiliateds to go from 75.4% for Romney to 41% for Donald Trump. If Black turnout remains this low, Trump is headed for a 4-point win in NC.

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