I was at an event (not at liberty to say exactly where) discussing the presidential election with some (about 20) young voters a few hours ago, some Muslim (Shiite and Sunni), some atheist, most White, some Black, all, I think, under the age of 30. All the general election Clinton supporters were for Bernie in the primary. Even the Black ones. There was one formerly Christian (now atheist) Arab Trump supporter who once lived in a Muslim country and supported the Muslim ban. This sounds like something Fox News might make up, but I’m not making this up; I was there myself. Not one (except a particularly naive Black woman) approved of Clinton’s foreign policy, and at least one White male undecided voter was scared of Her NFZ proposal as risking WWIII (without me bringing it up first). The general tenor was pro-BLM, anti-Brexit, pro-progressive taxes, and, with few exceptions (me included) anti-Trump. One Black guy was an actual Weisbrot-style Chavista.

Conclusions: the way for the GOP to winning young voters lies not through friggin’ tax cuts. The “growth and opportunity party” message may fool some, but most will ignore it or laugh at it. Muslims in America generally (though by no means entirely) rapidly tend toward progressivism. They are about as much “natural Republicans” as Hispanics, i.e., they’re not, and Bush 2000 in Dearborn, much like Bush 2004 among Hispanics, must be viewed as a historical anomaly. The best way of converting young people to Trump is to portray Clinton as an unacceptable choice (not that hard to do given Her bottom-of-the-barrel vote margins among them during the primary) based on foreign policy and corruption, and portraying Trump as the best of the lot in the GOP primary and one who has introduced genuinely good ideas into the party, mostly (again) on foreign policy and corruption. Many can’t really understand Trump due to his lack of an ideology.

“Bigotry” is especially unpopular among young people to an extent it isn’t among old, so it should be kept to a minimum. My suspicion is that “generic Republican” would get somewhat higher numbers than Trump among young people simply due to his lack of association with “bigotry” and having a more relevant message to young people than “trade” (young people, as a rule, have lived their whole lives without ever having a job affected by “trade”) and “illegal immigration” (there are lots of places in the U.S. where it’s not that easy to find illegal Mexican immigrants).

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